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Back to square one: identification issues in DSGE models
Canova, Fabio; Sala, Luca - 2006
observational equivalence, partial and weak identification problems are widespread, that they lead to biased estimates, unreliable t … identification and study how small samples interact with parameters and shock identification. We provide diagnostics and tests to … detect identification failures and apply them to a state-of-the-art model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604629
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On the sources of information about latent variables in DSGE models
Iskrev, Nikolay - In: European economic review : EER 119 (2019), pp. 318-332
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263304
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Are asset price data informative about news shocks? : a DSGE perspective
Iskrev, Nikolay - 2018
Standard economic intuition suggests that asset prices are more sensitive to news than other economic aggregates. This has led many researchers to conclude that asset price data would be very useful for the estimation of business cycle models containing news shocks. This paper shows how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864177
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Forming priors for DSGE models (and how it affects the assessment of nominal rigidities)
del Negro, Marco; Schorfheide, Frank - 2006
In Bayesian analysis of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, prior distributions for some of the taste-and-technology parameters can be obtained from microeconometric or presample evidence, but it is difficult to elicit priors for the parameters that govern the law of motion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292279
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Comparing the DSGE model with the factor model: an out-of-sample forecasting experiment
Wang, Mu-Chun - 2008
In this paper, we put DSGE forecasts in competition with factor forecasts. We focus on these two models since they represent nicely the two opposing forecasting philosophies. The DSGE model on the one hand has a strong theoretical economic background; the factor model on the other hand is mainly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295876
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DSGE Models and Central Banks
Tovar, Camilo Ernesto - 2008
Over the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298566
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DSGE Models and Central Banks
Tovar, Camilo Ernesto - In: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 3 (2009) 2009-16, pp. 1-31
Over the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298635
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Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance
Del Negro, Marco; Hasegawa, Raiden B.; Schorfheide, Frank - 2014
We provide a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools, which we call dynamic pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, with and without financial frictions, for output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340986
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A DSGE model for a SOE with systematic interest and foreign exchange policies in wich policymakers exploit the risk premium for stabilization purposes
Escudé, Guillermo - 2013
This paper builds a DSGE model for a SOE in which the central bank systematically intervenes both the domestic currency bond and the FX markets using two policy rules: a Taylor-type rule and a second rule in which the operational target is the rate of nominal currency depreciation. For this, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325096
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On the scientific status of economic policy: A tale of alternative paradigms
Fagiolo, Giorgio; Roventini, Andrea - 2008
In the last years, a number of contributions has argued that monetary - and, more generally, economic - policy is finally becoming more of a science. According to these authors, policy rules implemented by central banks are nowadays well supported by a theoretical framework (the New Neoclassical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328656