The last few years have seen a significant re-evaluation of the models used to analyze crises in emerging markets. Recent models typically stress financial constraints or distorted financial incentives. While this certainly represents progress, these models share a weakness with the earlier...

The last few years have seen a significant re-evaluation of the models used to analyze crises in emerging markets. Recent models typically stress financial constraints or distorted financial incentives. While this certainly represents progress, these models share a weakness with the earlier...

During emerging market crises, domestic agents might have sufficient collateral to borrow from the other domestic agents, but they are unable to borrow from foreigners because the country, as a whole, lacks international collateral. In this setting, we show that an (ex-post) optimizing central...

This article shows that the "risk premium" shock in Smets and Wouters (2007) can be interpreted as a structural shock to the demand for safe and liquid assets such as short-term US Treasury securities. Several implications of this interpretation are discussed.

We analyze monetary conditions in US asset markets - corporate equity, real estate, Treasury bond and corporate & foreign bond - from a market specific perspective, proposing the concept of market leverage. Market leverage measures the average leverage of all asset holders in a particular asset...

Now that Congress has passed the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, regulators promulgating the rules under this new bill must tackle a major problem that the reform bill addresses only indirectly. This is the problem of excessive “leverage” – financing with too...

Common statistical measures of bond risk premia are volatile and countercyclical. This paper uses survey data on interest rate forecasts to construct subjective bond risk premia. Subjective premia are less volatile and not very cyclical; instead they are high, only around the early 1980s. The...

We study arbitrage opportunities in diverse markets as introduced by R. Fernholz in [Fer99]. By a change of measure technique we are able to generate a variety of diverse markets. The construction is based on an absolutely continuous, but nonequivalent measure change which implies the existence...

This paper studies a dynamic market microstructure model, in which a strategic market maker competes with an informed trader. We include the presence of noise traders and limit order traders in our setup. Our model is a N-period model. We give necessary and sufficient conditions for an...

We present an order flow model framework for limit order driven markets. Different from previous models we explicitly model a reference price process that “sweeps” the limit order book as it fluctuates up and down. Our framework allows us to use any stochastic process to model this reference...