We analyze the properties of multiperiod forecasts which are formulated by a number of companies for a fixed horizon ahead which moves each month one period closer and are collected and diffused each month by some polling agency. Some descriptive evidence and a formal model suggest that knowing...

We analyze the properties of multiperiod forecasts which are formulated by a number of companies for a fixed horizon ahead which moves each month one period closer and are collected and diffused each month by some polling agency. Some descriptive evidence and a formal model suggest that knowing...

This note analyzes the distributional properties of Pareto Type III random variables. The orignal two parameters distribution proposed by Pareto is expanded in a three parameters version and both its density and characteristic function are derived. The analytic expression of the inverse...

This short note analyzes the distributional properties of Pareto Type III random variables. We introduce a three parameters version of the orignal two parameters distribution proposed by Pareto and derive both the density and the characteristic function. The analytic expression of the inverse...

Reproducibility is an absolute necessity in experimental sciences. In fact, the randomness of scientific findings based on P-values, that are the vast majority, should be taken into account. When a significance threshold α is fixed, the outcome of the test has a Bernoullian nature, i.e. is in...

This paper proposes a predictive maintenance policy using modified failure mode effect and criticality analysis (Mod-FMECA) technique. FMECA is used to identify failure modes, reasons, effects and criticality of the system (machine/plant) but in Mod-FMECA in addition to the analysis carried for...

Recent advances in machine learning are finding commercial applications across many industries, not least the finance industry. This paper focuses on applications in one of the core functions of finance, the investment process. This includes return forecasting, risk modelling and portfolio...

Various noninformative prior distributions have been suggested for scale parameters in hierarchical models. We construct a new folded-noncentral- t family of conditionally conjugate priors for hierarchical standard deviation parameters, and then consider noninformative and weakly informative...

In this paper, the Partial Distribution (PD) and multivariate Partial Distribution (MPD) are presented in their concepts, properties and applications, and PD is compared with the lognormal and the levy distribution. Though the levy distribution is better to describe the exchange returns in...

Matched employer-employee data contain information collected from households and individuals as well as information collected from businesses or establishments. Both administrative and sample survey sources are considered. Both longitudinal and cross-sectional applications are discussed. We...