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To study the effect of the euro on international goods trade one typically estimates a panel model for the level of trade. Trade levels increase over time, and we show that this is not fully explained by the included regressors. Because the euro is only present at the end of the sample, this may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334328
A major economic reason for the introduction of the euro was its supposedly positive effect on intra-EMU trade …. Existing studies examine this suspicion indirectly using non-EMU data and report ambiguous results. We estimate the euro …-effect directly from data that include EMU observations. Using a dynamic panel model for annual bilateral exports, we find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327839
European treaty. Moreover, as long as the distance to the core of the EMU countries is still large, real convergence criteria …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508238
European treaty. Moreover, as long as the distance to the core of the EMU countries is still large, real convergence criteria …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300395
Empirical research on the gravity model of international trade in the wake of Rose (2000) affirms that currency union formation doubles or triples trade. However, currency unions could also be established precisely because trade among their members was already high. In OLS estimation, this would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727925
This paper reconsiders recent empirical evidence found by Andrew Rose that countries adopting a common currency will triple their bilateral trade. We find that this large estimated effect is due to estimation bias arising from missing and/or misspecified time-invariant factors, rather than to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014128477
One reason why countries service their external debts is the fear that default might lead to shrinkage of international trade. If so, then creditors should systematically lend more to countries with which they share closer trade links. We develop a simple theoretical model to capture this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065004
The Brexit issue has caused much concern regarding the future economic scenario of Europe in particular and the world in general. There are several reasons for Brexit. One of them is that the very nature of Monetary Unions is its rigidity. The 'one size fits all' yardstick won't apply to many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956687
Objective: The objective of the article is to determine which exchange rate regime provides higher bilateral trade: fixed rate or currency union. Research Design & Methods: An index was designed based on variables commonly recognised as those that might affect the value of bilateral trade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520004
EMU economies, taking into account aggregate bilateral exports of 23 OECD countries for the sample period 1988-2003. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051496