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The European sovereign debt crisis revived the discussion concerning the pros and cons of exchange rate adjustment in the face of asymmetric shocks. Exit from the euro area is to regain rapidly international competitiveness. Exchange rate stability with structural reforms could be beneficial for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009683152
Emerging countries that have defaulted on their debt repayment obligations in the past are more likely to default again in the future than are non-defaulters even with the same debt-to-GDP ratio. This paper explains this stylized fact within a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056385
This paper develops a quantitative general equilibrium model of sovereign default with heterogeneous agents to account for spillover of default risk across countries. Borrowers (sovereign governments) and foreign lenders (investors) in the model face financial frictions, which endogenously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043457
I introduce endogenous capital accumulation into an otherwise standard quantitative sovereign default model in the tradition of Eaton and Gersovitz (1981), and find that conditional on a level of debt, default incentives are U shaped in the capital stock: the economy with too small or too large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043458
We examine the welfare effects of bailouts in economies exposed to sovereign default risk. When a government of a small open economy requests a bailout from an international financial institution, it receives a non-defaultable loan of size G that comes with imposed debt limits. The government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160653
This paper explores the drivers of sovereign defaults in 100 countries over the period 1996-2012. We build a new data set of sovereign defaults and find that default events on local and foreign currency bonds are equally likely. However, governments default under different economic and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938192
On August 29, 2014, the International Capital Market Association (ICMA) published new recommended terms for sovereign bond contracts governed by English law. One of the new terms would allow a super majority of creditors to approve a debtor's restructuring proposal in one vote across multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985851
• The IMF staff's 2013 proposal to reprofile (i.e., stretch out for a short period without haircutting principal or … interest) the maturing debt of a country that has lost market access is a sensible policy in cases where the IMF is uncertain … reprofiling, the IMF could minimise holdout creditors in these operations.• The authors propose a technique for minimizing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043303
When does the combination of flexible exchange rates and domestic inflation-oriented monetary policy guarantee insulation from global financial conditions? We examine a dynamic global game model of international portfolio flows where, for some combination of parameters, the unique equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001102
Recent discussions at the IMF and the G-20 on strengthening the international monetary system have emphasized, among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871908