We consider time series models in which the conditional mean of the response variable given the past depends on latent covariates. We assume that the covariates can be estimated consistently and use an iterative nonparametric kernel smoothing procedure for estimating the conditional mean...

In this book, the authors reject the theorem-proof approach as much as possible, and emphasize the practical application of econometrics. They show with examples how to calculate and interpret the numerical results. This book begins with students estimating simple univariate models, in a step by...

Introduction -- ARMA(p,q) Processes -- Model Selection in ARMA(p,q) processes -- Stationarity and Invertibility -- Non-stationarity and ARIMA(p,d,q) processes -- Seasonal ARMA(p,q) processe -- Unit root tests -- Structural Breaks -- ARCH, GARCH and Time-varying Variance -- Vector Autoregressions...