Increasing capital inflows and sustained interest rate spreads were important features in East Asia prior to the crisis of 1997-98. But why did capital inflows fail to eliminate interest rate differentials? Why were inflows associated with rising domestic interest rates that then perpetuated the...

Even though the New Open Economy Macroeconomics models dominate current research trend, the Mundell-Fleming model still shines for its theoretical importance and empirical relevance, and retains its status as one of the workhorse models of international economics. A full grasp of this model is...

Currency and financial turmoils in international capital markets have been the focus of an extensive theoretical research which started around 30 years ago. This paper provides a synthetic overview of this theoretical modeling. We analyze the basic analytical framework corresponding to the...

This paper deals with the relationship between exchange rates and monetary policy in small open economies. I also discuss the connection between policy rates in small countries and in major advanced economies. A main point is that central bankers need to know whether the currency is...

Is the average impact of US short term rates on EM monetary policy independent of the direction of US monetary policy movement? Building on a variety of estimation techniques, we evaluate the relationship between US short term rates and EM monetary policy under alternative US monetary cycles. We...

Sudden stops in capital flows are a form of financial whiplash that creates instability and crises in the affected economies. Sudden stops in net capital flows trigger current account reversals as countries that were borrowing on net from the rest of the world before the stop can no longer...

This paper tests the mean reverting property of current account in the financial crisis-affected 5 counties of southeast Asia using nonlinear unit root tests of Park and shintani (2004). Our approach is based on the idea that a conventional unit root test has lower power in detecting the...

The paper presents an N-country model with stock markets, in which a closed-form solution for the real exchange rate is derived. Risky asset prices and allocation of risky assets among countries are determined endogenously. Such a framework allows an analysis of how fundamental parameters, such...

The empirical literature on contagion has mainly measured the propagation of shocks across countries using daily stock markets, interest rates, and exchange rates. Several methodologies have been used for this purpose, however, the properties of the data introduces important limitations on the...

This article analyzes the work of the late Dr. William Vickrey, the McVickar Professor Emeritus of Columbia University and 1996 Nobel-laureate in Economics. In choosing Vickrey for the Nobel prize, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences notes Vickrey's fundamental contributions to the economic...