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The dynamics of real exchange rates: A reconsideration
Heinen, Florian; Kaufmann, Hendrik; Sibbertsen, Philipp - 2011
While it is widely agreed that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds as a long-run concept the specific dynamic driving the process is largely build upon a priori economic belief rather than a thorough statistical modeling procedure. The two prevailing time series models, i.e. the exponential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289015
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Real exchange rates and economic fundamentals : an investigation based on a Markov-STAR model
Bertram, Philip; Ma, Jun; Sibbertsen, Philipp - 2015
In this paper we introduce a new nonlinear Markov-STAR model to capture both the markov switching and smooth transition dynamics for real exchange rates. The Markov switching part captures the effect of time variations of the equilibrium exchange rates, while the smooth transition part models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011429933
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Nonlinearities and asymmetric adjustment to PPP in an exchange rate model with inflation expectations
Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021
This paper estimates a model of the real exchange rate including standard fundamentals as well as two alternative measures of inflation expectations for five inflation targeting countries (UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden) over the period January 1993-July 2019. Both a benchmark linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438461
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Price Convergence and Cointegration
García-Hiernaux, Alfredo - 2017
This paper provides a new, unified, and flexible framework to measure and characterize a convergence process. Specifically, we formally define the notion of price convergence and propose a model to represent a wide range of transition paths that converge to a common steady-state. Our framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975957
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Non-stationary interest rate differentials and the role of monetary policy
Matros, Philipp; Weber, Enzo - 2011
bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential … stochastic trend into the system. Trivariate cointegration between the interest rates and the exchange rate accounts for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281908
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Non-stationary interest rate differentials and the role of monetary policy
Matros, Philipp; Weber, Enzo - 2011
bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential … stochastic trend into the system. Trivariate cointegration between the interest rates and the exchange rate accounts for the … ; Monetary Policy Rules ; Cointegration ; Vector-Error Correction Model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511974
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Exchange rate pass-through in Russia
Ponomarev, Jurij; Trunin, Pavel V.; Uljukaev, Aleksej V. - 2014
The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices in Russia during the period of 2000–2012 using vector error correction model. Exchange rate pass-through asymmetry estimates, its assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398366
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Measuring the impact of exchange rate movements on domestic prices : a cointegrated VAR analysis
Cheikh, Nidhaleddine Ben; Louhichi, Waël - 2014
This paper measures the pass-through of exchange rate changes into domestic inflation within a cointegrated VAR (CVAR) framework. This issue is of particular interest for the euro area (EA) as Member Sates cede their national currencies and no longer have options of using monetary policy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346364
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Non-Stationary Interest Rate Differentials and the Role of Monetary Policy
Matros, Philipp - 2011
bivariate cointegration between domestic and foreign interest rates. We explain non-stationarity of the interest differential … stochastic trend into the system. Trivariate cointegration between the interest rates and the exchange rate accounts for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124253
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A New Poolability Test for Cointegrated Panels
Westerlund, Joakim - 2013
This paper proposes a new test of the null hypothesis that the parameters in a cointegrated panel data regression are equal across the cross-section. The asymptotic distribution of the new test statistic is derived and simulation results are provided to suggest that it performs very well in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075469