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, notably in the case of the world equity risk premium. Finally, long-run risks are detected in all asset portfolios including …
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We provide the first large-scale study of the performance of expected-return proxies (ERPs) internationally. Analyst-forecast-based ICCs are sparsely populated and not robustly associated with future returns. Earnings-model-forecast-based ICCs are well-populated, but are unreliable outside the...
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We introduce a new meaure of risk appetite in financial markets, based on the cross sectional behavior of excess returns. Turning them into probabilities through a Markov Switching model, we define one global risk appetite measure as the cross-sectional average of the individual probabilities...
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The aim of this paper is to test the ability of conditional and unconditional CAPM models to explain emerging markets … conditional CAPM) has lower predictive power for emerging markets than for developed markets. Finally, following the financial … ; unconditional CAPM ; conditional APT ; returns …
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