Inaugural -Dissertation zur Erlangung des Grades eines Doktors der Wirtschafts -und Sozialwissenschaften der Wirtschafts -und Sozialwissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Christian -Albrechts -Universität zu Kiel The objective of this study is the development and application of models for financial...

Structural identification schemes are of essential importance to vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. This paper tests a commonly used structural parameter identification scheme to assess whether it can properly capture fundamental and non-fundamental shocks to stock prices. In particular, five...

During the past decades, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) had become one of a prevalent linear models in time series and forecasting. Empirical research advocated that forecasting with non-linear models can be an encouraging alternative to traditional linear models....