prices are exogenous shocks for individual countries or local areas. By isolating strictly exogenous shifts in global food …. Specifically, we show that increases in food prices that are caused by harvest shocks outside Africa raise conflict significantly …

macroeconomic determinants of food insecurity. Income shocks are the most relevant driver of food insecurity, displaying high … elasticities at the early stages of economic development. The role of food price shocks is more limited. Social protection has a … direct effect and mitigates the impact of income shocks. Effects are highly heterogeneous across a range of structural …