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Measuring the impact of political risk on investment projects is one of the most vexing issues in international business. One popular approach is to assume that the sovereign yield spread captures political risk and to augment the project discount rate by this spread. We show that this approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015661
Using the 2008-09 global financial crisis, this paper examines the role of different forms of international financial integration for asset price contagion in crisis times. Defining contagion as the transmission of financial market movements beyond the co-movements that would occur in 'tranquil'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102362
We study a dynamic economy where credit is limited by insufficient collateral and, as a result, investment and output are too low. In this environment, changes in investor sentiment or market expectations can give rise to credit bubbles, that is, expansions in credit that are backed not by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050667
In 2007, countries in the euro periphery were enjoying stable growth, low deficits and low spreads. Then the financial crisis erupted and pushed them into deep recession, raising their deficits and debt levels. By 2010, they were facing severe debt problems. Spreads increased and, surprisingly,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058811
In 2007, countries in the Euro periphery were enjoying stable growth, low deficits, and low spreads. Then the financial crisis erupted and pushed them into deep recessions, raising their deficits and debt levels. By 2010,they were facing severe debt problems. Spreads increased and, surprisingly,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059093
Does opening up capital markets facilitate risk diversification across borders? Are all countries gradually better off in the process of international financial integration? This paper explores welfare implications for various countries in a center-periphery framework with endogenous portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035949
Asset price data imply a large degree of international risk sharing, while aggregate consumption data do not. We evaluate whether a model with trade in goods and endogenously segmented asset markets accounts for this puzzling discrepancy. Active households pay a fixed cost to transfer income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011763742
This volume was prepared by Inga Heiland while she was working at the Ifo Institute. It was completed in July 2016 and accepted as a doctoral thesis by the Department of Economics at the University of Munich. It comprises five chapters addressing one or more aspects of international trade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011736433
The G7 countries traditionally display home bias in assets (equities and bonds), but over the last 25 years this bias has progressively decreased, especially for equity portfolios. At the same time, the indebtedness of non-financial corporations has tended to increase and comove across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898191
We provide new evidence that international portfolios reflect the underlying heterogeneity in investors' beliefs. Using data on foreign sovereign debt holdings of European banks matched with their forecasts on future bond yields, we find that expecting higher returns and having more accurate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853249