This paper analyzes a large set of factors that potentially influence the price of gold using Bayesian Model Averaging and Ordinary Least Squares for comparison. We examine the evolution of the importance of factors through time, the role of the time horizon (daily versus monthly),...

When a rate of return is regressed on a lagged stochastic regressor, such as a dividend yield, the regression disturbance is correlated with the regressor's innovation. The OLS estimator's finite-sample properties, derived here, can depart substantially from the standard regression setting....

In this note we consider several versions of the bootstrap and argue that it can be helpful in explaining and thinking about such procedures to use an explicit representation of the random resampling process. To illustrate the point we give such explicit representations and use them to produce...

When a rate of return is regressed on a lagged stochastic regressor, such as a dividend yield, the regression disturbance is correlated with the regressor's innovation. The OLS estimator's finite-sample properties, derived here, can depart substantially from the standard regression setting....