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Two theoretical modeis are developed. One describes the behavior of monetary policy before elections, in case of policy instruments being controlled by the government. The other one discusses the effects of a change in the ruling party, if parties differ in the weight they attribute to Inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275338
A theoretical model is developed to describe the behavior of dependent and independent central banks. In an empirical test, the reaction functions of six central banks of industrial countries with different degrees of independence are estimated using an error correction framework. In shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275457
Two theoretical modeis are developed. Both describe the connection between public debt and inflation. In the first one, monetary policy inflates the economy to rcduce the bürden of existing debt. In the second one, the causality runs directly from the level of public debt to inflation via a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290096
In this article we derive a microfounded model of money demand under uncertainty built on intertemporally optimizing risk-averse households. Deriving a complete solution of the optimization problem taking the intertemporal budget constraint into account leads to ambiguous effects w.r.t. to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010520781
Using the new unit root test by Phillips et al. (2011) we show that the Target balances of the German Bundesbank have been exploding from the beginning of 2009 to the beginning of 2013. By implementing a full-allotment policy and reducing the required minimum quality of collaterals in October...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764406
A Phillips Curve (PC) framework is utilized to study the challenging post-1985 disinflation process in Israel. The estimated PC is stable and has forecasting power. Based on endogenous structural break tests we find that actual and expected inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544982
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank's Taylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflation and the output gap, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115531
Financial instability and liquidity management by banks is often the most debated topic in the area of monetary economics. This study examines an emerging economy's banking system and contributes to the evolving body of literature on the topic of banks' borrowing behaviour during financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065703
For the large family of ARMA models with variable coefficients we provide an explicit and computationally tractable solution representation, which yields the fundamental properties of such processes, including the Wold-Cramer decomposition and the covariance structure. These results are founded...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835427
This paper is an empirical study of the links between monetary variables and inflation based on Cagan`s equation and its rational expectations solution, when the forcing variable is a fractionally integrated process. As demonstrated by Hamilton and Whiteman, the existence of bubbles and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781804