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In this paper, we compare different methods for computing default probabilities using a sample of banks that experienced financial distress during the 2007–2009 global financial crisis. The traditional KMV-Merton model for firm valuation, credit ratings by rating agencies and a recently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097198
We propose a unified structural credit risk model incorporating insolvency, recovery and rollover risks. The firm finances itself mainly by issuing short- and long-term debt. Short-term debt can have either a discrete or a more realistic staggered tenor structure. We show that a unique threshold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100650
the Leland-Toft endogenous bankruptcy model has strong explanatory power on the debt recovery observed in the market. Our …, we find that both agency problems and heterogeneous bankruptcy costs weaken the explanatory power of the model. Our study … suggests structural models that incorporate the role of managers in endogenously determining the bankruptcy boundary provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090029
knowledge, affect the relationship between corporate governance and the risk of bankruptcy. We find that having larger boards … reduces the risk of bankruptcy only for complex firms. Our results also suggest that the proportion of inside directors on the … board is inversely associated with the risk of bankruptcy in firms that require more specialist knowledge, and that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069021
We estimate the costs of financial distress prior to default (pre-default costs) separately from the loss incurred at default (the loss given default) using a dynamic trade-off model of capital structure. We document that pre-default costs are on average equal to 6.5% of firm value per year. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839730
the Leland-Toft endogenous bankruptcy model has strong explanatory power on the debt recovery observed in the market. Our …, we find that both agency problems and heterogeneous bankruptcy costs weaken the explanatory power of the model. Our study … suggests structural models that incorporate the role of managers in endogenously determining the bankruptcy boundary provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906073
as a reduction in bankruptcy-related costs. This trend raises the question as to what drives the frequency with which … defaults turn into bankruptcies. We propose a theory based on three pillars: first, bankruptcy is costlier than out … the value of their assets, outside investors only learn them only upon bankruptcy. Creditor's bargaining power upon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907919
We develop a model of a firm in financial distress. Distress can be mitigated by filing for bankruptcy, which is costly …, or preempted by restructuring, which is impeded by a collective action problem. We find that bankruptcy and restructuring … are complements, not substitutes: Reducing bankruptcy costs facilitates restructuring, rather than crowding it out. And so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822577
This paper examines bankruptcy costs using market prices of equity and put options during the financial crisis. Our … approach avoids the downward selection bias and the upward bias when using the tradeoff theory to estimate bankruptcy costs …. While the average bankruptcy cost is about 20%, we find wide variation across and within industries. Costs are related …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974007
bankruptcy outcomes. Firms with higher debt concentration at the start of the case are more likely to file prearranged bankruptcy … during bankruptcy concentrates ownership further, but this trading is not associated with subsequent improvements in … bankruptcy outcomes and could, at the margin, increase the likelihood of liquidation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976638