We incorporate adaptive learning-based inflation expectations in an Unobserved Components model in order to study the … link between inflation and the output gap. The forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve serves as the backbone for … modeling inflation dynamics. We find that learning based inflation forecasts not only shadow survey expectations in the pre …

during and following the recent Great Recession, and that models in which inflation depends on economic slack cannot explain … the recent muted behavior of inflation, given the sharp drop in output that occurred in 2008-09. In this paper, we use a … protracted decline in inflation. The model does so even though inflation remains very dependent on the evolution of both economic …

during and following the recent Great Recession, and that models in which inflation depends on economic slack cannot explain … the recent muted behavior of inflation, given the sharp drop in output that occurred in 2008-09. In this paper, we use a … protracted decline in inflation. The model does so even though inflation remains very dependent on the evolution of both economic …

chartalist, respectively), the rate of wage inflation depends on either unemployment or the wage-setting policies of the … inflation affects aggregate demand through its impact on the value of assets and debts. Bank rates depend on an endogenous …

The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis was characterized by sluggish output growth and by inflation remaining … persistently below the inflation targets of central banks in many advanced economies despite an unprecedented monetary expansion …

The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis was characterized by sluggish output growth and by inflation remaining … persistently below the inflation targets of central banks in many advanced economies despite an unprecedented monetary expansion …