This paper deals with a 'new' type of monetary policy making: Inflation Targeting (IT). It attempts to identify reasons for which countries might be inclined to adopt this framework for monetary policy. By reviewing recent experience of inflation targeting countries, the paper outlines the major...

This paper deals with a "new" type of monetary policy making: Inflation Targeting (IT). It attempts to identify reasons for which countries might be inclined to adopt this framework for monetary policy. By reviewing recent experience of inflation targeting countries, the paper outlines the major...

A dynamic rational expectations model is used for investigation of interactions between money growth, nominal interest rates, inflation expectations and the exchange rates. The motivation is to draw policy inferences for the small transition economy with an emerging market. An econometric...

In September, the Central Bank of Russia made a decision to cut the key rate by 0.5 p.p. to 10%. The intention of the Central Bank of Russia to stick to a moderately tough monetary policy is justified by the need to consolidate the trend towards sustained reduction of the rate of inflation

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) in October 2015 continued to grow, up 0.6% (0.7% in October 2014), reaching 0.7% (0.8% in Oct. 2014). The Russian rouble's exchange rate in October strengthened a bit in response to both uptrend in the crude oil market as well as some geopolitical improvements....

The Russian currency in July-August saw further substantial depreciation in the exchange rate. The weakening of the ruble resulted largely in higher inflation and retained the central bank base rate at the level which was set in September at a meeting of the Central Bank Board of Directors. The...

The consumer price index stood at 0.2% in August 2014 (0.1% in August 2013), 0.3 p.p. lower than the value observed in the preceding month. Therefore, inflation stood at 7.6% on an annualized basis. The consumer price index reached 0.5% within the first 22 days in September 2014. Banks' repo...

In Q1 2016, inflation slowed down both month-on-month and year-on-year, driven by further decline in internal demand amid a strengthening rouble, as well as due to the high base effect a year earlier. However, expectations for high inflation are still strong, which will stem decline in price...

Over the period March 2015 – February 2016, the growth rate of prices declined to 8.1%, while the corresponding index for February 2015 – January 2016 amounted to 9.8%. As demonstrated by the results of a survey published by the Bank of Russia, in February the median inflation expectation...

The balance of payments for 2015 shows an increasing surplus in the current account balance, which has resulted from the shrinking deficit in the balance of services, the investment income balance and wages, coupled with the decreasing surplus in the trade balance. The accelerated weakening of...