This paper proposes a constrained principal components (CnPC) estimator for efficient estimation of large-dimensional factor models when errors are crosssectionally correlated and the number of cross-sections (N) may be larger than the number of observations (T). Although principal components...

Measuring bias is important as it helps identify flaws in quantitative forecasting methods or judgmental forecasts. It can, therefore, potentially help improve forecasts. Despite this, bias tends to be under represented in the literature: many studies focus solely on measuring accuracy. Methods...

In this paper R2-type measures of the explanatory power of multivariate linear and categorical probit models proposed in the literature are reviewed and their deficiencies are discussed. It is argued that a measure of the explanatory power should take into account the components which are...

OLS is as efficient as GLS in the linear regression model with long-memory errors as the long-memory parameter approaches the boundary of the stationarity region_ provided the model contains a constant term. This generalizes previous results of Samarov Taqqu (Journal of Time Series Analysis 9...

OLS is as efficient as GLS in the linear regression model with long-memory errors as the long-memory parameter approaches the boundary of the stationarity region, provided the model contains a constant term. This generalizes previous results of Samarov & Taqqu (Journal of Time Series Analysis 9...

The authors replicate and extend the Monte Carlo experiment presented in Doz et al. (2012) on alternative (time-domain based) methods for extracting dynamic factors from large datasets; they employ open source software and consider a larger number of replications and a wider set of scenarios....

The authors replicate and extend the Monte Carlo experiment presented in Doz, Giannone and Reichlin (A Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Approach For Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models, Review of Economics and Statistics, 2012) on alternative (time-domain based) methods for extracting dynamic...

Predictive power has always been the main research focus of learning algorithms with the goal of minimizing the test error for supervised classification and regression problems. While the general approach for these algorithms is to consider all possible attributes in a dataset to best predict...

xsmle is a new command for spatial analysis using Stata. We consider the quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of a wide set of both fi xed- and random- eff ects spatial models for balanced panel data. Of special note is that xsmle allows to handle unbalanced panels thanks to its full...

We present a comprehensive framework for Bayesian estimation of structural nonlinear dynamic economic models on sparse grids. The Smolyak operator underlying the sparse grids approach frees global approximation from the curse of dimensionality and we apply it to a Chebyshev approximation of the...