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and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in … the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects output variability positively, while output variability has a negative … effect on inflation uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723007
frequency vector autoregression (VAR). It shows that potential causalities for inflation, relative price variability, relative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465997
We show that a "competing claims" model of imperfect competition can explain the movements of wages and prices in the United Kingdom, using quarterly data covering 1976-93. We argue that careful attention both to economic theory and to the interaction between dynamics and identification is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184334
concerned with themodelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series:inflation and industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324992
We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the … conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the … efficient estimates of the parameters using a monthly dataset of core inflation for which we consider different subsamples of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373822
concerned with themodelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series:inflation and industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327834
In this paper, I apply univariate and vector autoregressive (VAR) models to forecast inflation in Vietnam. To … properties of inflation in Vietnam. Then, I compute the pseudo out-of-sample root mean square error (RMSE) as a measure of … forecasting models from among the different candidates. I find that VAR_m2 is the best monthly model to forecast inflation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606109
In this paper we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with time-varying system matrices where time variation is driven by the score of the conditional likelihood. We derive a new filter that allows for the simultaneous estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842441
In this paper we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with timevarying system matrices where time variation is driven by the score of the conditional likelihood. We derive a new filter that allows for the simultaneous estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156426
In the present study, we examine the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty using monthly Consumer … inflation rates. The A-DCC model allows for conditional asymmetries in covariance and correlation dynamics, thereby enabling to … decreasing inflation uncertainty is expected to reduce inflation. This seems a hard enough, especially with the political …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015304