Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 15,720
Cover Image
Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015
-cycle states. We show that forecasts for recessions are subject to a large negative systematic forecast error (forecasters … overestimate growth), while forecasts for recoveries are subject to a positive systematic forecast error. Forecasts made for … expansions have, if anything, a small systematic forecast error for large forecast horizons. When we link information about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869
Cover Image
Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 4, pp. 760-769
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746905
Cover Image
Can rational stubbornness explain forecast biases?
Ioannidis, Christos - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 92 (2013), pp. 141-151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010198101
Cover Image
Short-term forecast of Ukrainian economy including shadow sector using causal simulation model
Vasylenko, Yuri V. - In: Mokslo darbai / Vilniaus Universitetas 99 (2020) 1, pp. 131-145
various types of legal and shadow economic activities and their interrelations. The model is used to forecast the whole (legal … Ukrainian authorities take an active position in the implementation of the developed forecast for the economic development of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264616
Cover Image
Forecasters and rationality : a comment on Fritsche et al., Forecasting the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso ; asymmetric loss, forecast rationality and forecaster herding
Fildes, Robert - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 140-143
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327376
Cover Image
Forecasting the Brazilian Real and the Mexican Peso : asymmetric loss, forecast rationality, and forecaster herding
Fritsche, Ulrich; Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, … - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 130-139
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327408
Cover Image
Short- and long-term forecasting by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB) : Science, witchcraft, or ractical tool for policy?
Bos, Frits; Teulings, Coen N. - In: OECD journal on budgeting (2013) 1, pp. 45-56
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243667
Cover Image
Forecasting gold-price fluctuations : a real-time boosting approach
Pierdzioch, Christian; Risse, Marian; Rohloff, Sebastian - In: Applied economics letters 22 (2015) 1/3, pp. 46-50
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482090
Cover Image
High frequency model vs. consensus forecast
Inada, Yoshihisa - In: Macroeconometric modeling of Japan, (pp. 393-409). 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009272698
Cover Image
Forecasting behavior in instable environments
Becker, Otwin; Leitner, Johannes; Leopold-Wildburger, Ulrike - In: Operations research proceedings 2008 : selected papers …, (pp. 501-506). 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003841975