We extract from the yield curve a new measure of fundamental economic uncertainty, based on McDiarmid's distance and related methods for optimal uncertainty quantification (OUQ). OUQ seeks analytical bounds on a system's behavior, even where the underlying data-generating process and system...

We show that the fundamental legal structure of a well-written financial contract follows a state-transition logic that can be formalized mathematically as a finite-state machine (specifically, a deterministic finite automaton or DFA). The automaton defines the states that a financial...

We explore statistical commonalities among granular measures of market liquidity with the goal of illuminating systemwide patterns in aggregate liquidity. We calculate daily invariant price impacts described by Kyle and Obizhaeva [2014] to assemble a granular panel of liquidity measures for...