We analyse the determinants of unemployment persistence in four OECDcountries byestimating a structural Bayesian VAR … with an informative priorbased on an insiders/outsiders model. We explicitly insert unemployment ben-efits and labour taxes … so that our identification is not affected by the Faust andLeeper (1997) critique. We find widespread hysteresis: demand …

network (ARNN) unit root test (Yaya et al. 2021; Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics), to investigate unemployment … hysteresis in five European countries: France, Italy, the Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom. Unit root tests applied in … plausibility of nonlinearity in the unemployment rate of these European countries. The results show non-rejection of unemployment …

The structural rate of unemployment and associated non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (the NAIRU) are of … representing the NAIRU as currently used by the OECD in its policy analysis and surveillance work. Three distinct classes of NAIRU …

This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of …/cointegration techniques which allow for the possibility that unemployment is highly persistent. In line with other studies, we find that all … equilibrium model with highly persistent shocks might be adequate to account for the observed behaviour of unemployment …

This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional … suggest that the UK unemployment may be explained in terms of lagged values of the real oil prices and the real interest rate …, with the order of integration of unemployment ranging between 0.50 and 1. Thus, unemployment shows the characteristics of …

that long-term unemployment is only weakly related to inflation depends on the assumption of linearity in the Phillips … curve. Specifically, once convexity is allowed for during the estimation process, long-term unemployment appears to have a … significant negative influence on wage inflation, whereas in a linear Phillips curve model it is only the short-term unemployment …

unemployment rate are estimated by Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The Markov switching model is identified by constraining the … difference of the unemployment rate. Out of sample forecasts are obtained from Bayesian predictive densities. Although both …

modern labour market literature NAIRU is defined as the rate of unemployment at which inflation stabilizes in the absence of … any wage-price surprises. Conventional thinking about the equilibrium unemployment rate assumes that in the long run NAIRU …-mechanisms which could lead to permanent shifts of equilibrium unemployment over time, implying that an unique long run NAIRU may not …

produces a unique long-run NAIRU while the other implies the presence of aspiration-induced hysteresis in the employment rate …The influence of NAIRU theory on economic policy is both puzzling and unfortunate, especially in a European context …. This paper shows that standard rationality assumptions and objective functions may fail to generate a well-defined NAIRU in …