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Measuring uncertainty and its effects in a small open economy
Cabello, Miguel; Nivin, Rafael - 2022
model and a stochastic volatility factor model, it is possible to estimate reliable uncertainty measures and describe their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540621
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Bond return predictability : economic value and links to the macroeconomy
Gargano, Antonio; Pettenuzzo, Davide; Timmermann, Allan - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 65 (2019) 2, pp. 508-540
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012000665
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Uncertainty and labor market fluctuations
Jo, Soojin; Lee, Justin J. - 2019
We investigate how a macroeconomic uncertainty shock affects the labor market. We focus on the uncertainty transmission mechanism, for which we employ a set of worker flow indicators in addition to labor stock variables. We incorporate common factors from such indicators into a framework that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030061
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Common and country specific economic uncertainty
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2015
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
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Fiscal policy uncertainty and US output
Popiel, Michal Ksawery - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 24 (2020) 2, pp. 1-27
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198646
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Common and country specific economic uncertainty
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - In: Journal of international economics 105 (2017), pp. 205-216
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751898
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Measuring the origins of macroeconomic uncertainty
Mumtaz, Haroon - 2018
This paper extends the procedure developed by Jurado et al. (2015) to allow the estimation of measures of uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895010
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Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks
Alessandri, Piergiorgio; Mumtaz, Haroon - In: Journal of monetary economics 101 (2019), pp. 31-46
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264750
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Complementarity and macroeconomic uncertainty
Atkinson, Tyler; Plante, Michael; Richter, Alexander W.; … - In: Review of economic dynamics 44 (2022), pp. 225-243
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013346936
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Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility
Marcellino, Massimiliano; Porqueddu, Mario; Venditti, … - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 34 (2016) 1, pp. 118-127
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691233