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This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and immigration rates. The labour force participation rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586534
The adoption of industrial automated technology in the US is associated with a decrease in wages, stronger for men than for women. This paper investigates how this affects households' allocation of time by constructing a measure of labor markets' exposure to industrial robots. Higher exposure is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255758
investment. This allows us to quantify the role of advancement in automation technology in accounting for these labor market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012161124
how this framework can generate changes in unemployment and labor participation that match those uncovered by the ….S. states, including many that experience unemployment during the transition. However, nominal rigidities reduce the overall U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013384886
. We find that automation is accelerating and supplanting a broader set of low-wage routine jobs in the decade since the … effects of automation on low-wage routine jobs. Employment losses are most evident among minority workers who experience …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251904
created. In a static version where capital is fixed and technology is exogenous, automation reduces employment and the labor … capital accumulation and the direction of research towards automation and the creation of new tasks. If the long-run rental … rate of capital relative to the wage is sufficiently low, the long-run equilibrium involves automation of all tasks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573063
intermediate service good. We use the model to find that the extent of automation through AI will be greater if (a) the economy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368680
The path breaking work of Card and Krueger (1993), showing higher minimum wage can increase employment turned the age-old conventional wisdom on its head. This paper demonstrates that this apparently paradoxical result is perfectly plausible in a competitive general equilibrium production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835193
The path breaking work of Card and Krueger (1993), showing higher minimum wage can increase employment turned the age-old conventional wisdom on its head. This paper demonstrates that this apparently paradoxical result is perfectly plausible in a competitive general equilibrium production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841731
This paper studies the impact of an unemployment protection legislation reform - a substitution between an experience … rated tax and firing costs - on the level and structure of unemployment by skills. In this purpose, we consider a matching … free entry condition and the tax rate aimed at financing unemployment benefits results from a balanced budget constraint …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050738