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We estimate a multivariate unobserved components-stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015703
I analyze the role of real and monetary shocks on the exchange rate behavior using a structural vector autoregressive model of the US vis-à-vis the rest of the world. The shocks are identified using sign restrictions on the responses of the variables to orthogonal disturbances. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151170
We study the quarterly bilateral real exchange rate and the relative price of non-traded to traded goods for 1225 country pairs over 1980-2005. We show that the two variables are positively correlated, but that movements in the relative price measure are smaller than those in the real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722646
in consumption is important to duplicate the exchange rate volatility and exchange rate disconnect documented in the data … volatility while leaving the volatility of real macroeconomic variables, such as GDP, almost untouched. The model predicts the … volatility of the real exchange rate relative to that of GDP increases with the extent of home bias. This relation is strongly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707889
The main tenet of the New Keynesian (NK) paradigm is that price dispersion caused by nominal price stickiness is the primary source of allocative inefficiency. This study empirically evaluates the welfare implications of NK models by observing how internal and external price dispersion responds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308249
We show that the quarterly bilateral real exchange rate for 1275 country pairs over 1980–2015 is positively correlated with the relative price of non-traded to traded goods, but that movements in the relative price measure are smaller than those in the real exchange rate. Variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945763
How does international financial integration affect national price levels? To analyze this question, this paper formulates a two-country open economy sticky-price model under either segmented or complete asset markets. It is shown that the effect of financial integration, i.e. moving from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991245
We revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we make use of a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414236
The first part of this paper briefly summarizes the assumptions of economic theory on the relationships between exchange rates, prices and interest rates and the same time compares these assumptions with the empirical evidence. The fact that there exist strong discrepancies, which in recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135774
We provide a novel daily decomposition of the real exchange rate that exploits a direct link between bond and foreign exchange (FX) markets. Real exchange rate dynamics can be attributed to changes in the expected future level of the exchange rate; cross-country differentials of expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175434