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produces a unique long-run NAIRU while the other implies the presence of aspiration-induced hysteresis in the employment rate …The influence of NAIRU theory on economic policy is both puzzling and unfortunate, especially in a European context …. This paper shows that standard rationality assumptions and objective functions may fail to generate a well-defined NAIRU in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211038
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the … is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In order to test for hysteresis, the dependence of the Nairu on … Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744523
Dieser Aufsatz untersucht die Hypothese, dass der Grad an Arbeitsmarkthysterese in Folge einer Rezession von der Reaktion der Geldpolitik abhängt. Der Hysteresegrad wird in der empirischen Untersuchung durch die geldpolitische Reaktion und Standardvariablen für Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772351
so that our identification is not affected by the Faust andLeeper (1997) critique. We find widespread hysteresis: demand …-teractions with structural shocks and other institutions as crucial determinantsof hysteresis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327831
This note gives a brief survey of main theoretical and empirical issues with respect to the NAIRU concept. According to … modern labour market literature NAIRU is defined as the rate of unemployment at which inflation stabilizes in the absence of … any wage-price surprises. Conventional thinking about the equilibrium unemployment rate assumes that in the long run NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291066
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components-stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six exchange rates against the US Dollar. The empirical model is based on the assumption that both countries' monetary policy strategies may be well described by Taylor rules with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326550
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six exchange rates against the US Dollar. The empirical model is based on the assumption that both countries' monetary policy strategies may be well described by Taylor rules with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118184
The structural rate of unemployment and associated non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (the NAIRU) are of … representing the NAIRU as currently used by the OECD in its policy analysis and surveillance work. Three distinct classes of NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444864
hysteresis in five European countries: France, Italy, the Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom. Unit root tests applied in … hysteresis in the five countries. Caution should therefore be made when applying the ADF–SB and FADF–SB tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080991
Inflation-targeting central banks have only imperfect knowledge about the effect of policy decisions on inflation. An important source of uncertainty is the relationship between inflation and unemployment. This paper studies the optimal monetary policy in the presence of uncertainty about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765348