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Total public debt in most emerging markets grew before and after the pandemic with a sizable share in foreign currency. Along this trend, interest payments increased even in the presence of active fiscal rules in some countries. How should debt management of public debt be set under a fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471269
A wide consensus has emerged on the role of debt management in reducing fiscal vulnerability by providing insurance against macroeconomic shocks to the government budget. Whether this goal is better accomplished by nominal or inflation-indexed debt, by a short or a long maturity structure,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090819
This paper provides evidence on the behavior of public debt managers during fiscal stabilizations in OECD countries over the last two decades. We find that debt maturity tends to lengthen the more credible is the program, the lower is the long-term interest rate and the higher is the volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081767
This paper assesses the effects of fiscal consolidations associated with public debt reduction on medium-term output growth during periods of private debt deleveraging. The analysis covers 107 countries and 79 episodes of public debt reduction driven by discretionary fiscal adjustments during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071366
We assess, via system GMM, how Stock Flow Adjustments (SFA) affect the debt-to-GDP ratio in 65 countries (covering developed and emerging and low-income countries) between 1985-2014. We find that SFAs positively contribute to the change in the debt-to-GDP ratio with a coefficient close to one....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893927
We develop a model with financial frictions and sovereign default risk where the maturity of public debt is allowed to be larger than one period. When the debt portfolio has longer average maturities, public debt increases less in the event of a crisis, reducing the size of the subsequent fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963067
Do governments strategically choose debt maturity to fill supply gaps across maturities? Building on a new panel data set of more than 9,000 individual Eurozone government debt issues between 1999 and 2015, I find that governments increase long-term debt issues following periods of low aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941764
Do governments strategically choose debt maturity to fill supply gaps across maturities? Building on a new panel data set of more than 9,000 individual Eurozone government debt issues between 1999 and 2015, I find that governments increase long-term debt issues following periods of low aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919221
Do governments strategically choose debt maturity to fill supply gaps across maturities? Building on a new panel data set of more than 9,000 individual Eurozone government debt issues between 1999 and 2015, I find that governments increase long-term debt issues following periods of low aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213945
Economists have traditionally used a simple rule that restricts primary deficits to less than a threshold given by the interest rate growth rate differential and existing debt level to judge fiscal sustainability. This rule derives from a single period application of the government's budget...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981557