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We analyze empirically what drives market expectations of crude oil price volatility. Between 2000 and 2014, we … outperforms a benchmark ARIMA specification both in and out of sample, suggests an approach for studying volatility in asset …
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We analyze empirically what drives market expectations of crude oil price volatility. Between 2000 and 2014, we … outperforms a benchmark ARIMA specification both in and out of sample, suggests an approach for studying volatility in asset …
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, OECD and U.S. oil and petroleum inventories and consumption, and historical and implied volatility. When we model the … predicted by the theory of storage. However results show that excess inventory is not adequately modelled as deviations from a …, increases in volatility make positive spreads more steeply positive but are not related to negative spreads, consistent with …
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