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The European debt crisis has revealed serious deficiencies and risks on a proper functioning of the monetary union. Against this backdrop, early warning systems are of crucial importance. In this study that focuses on euro area member states, the robustness of early warning systems to predict...
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the private sector. Shocks to bank capital can trigger banking crises, with government sometimes finding it optimal to … extend guarantees over bank assets. This leads to a trade-off: Larger bailouts relax domestic financial frictions and …
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