With Korean firm-level and aggregated industry-level data, we explore a balance sheet channel through which an exchange rate shock translates into domestic producer prices; we are the first to explore this channel both empirically and theoretically. Exploiting a large devaluation episode in...

The issue of EDC became increasingly important in the field of development economics primarily because EDC has been occurring more frequent after the deregulation of global financial flows in the 1970s (Tiruneh 2004, Jones 2015) hitting mostly MICs and LICs. Assessing the probability of an EDC...

We investigate the effects of alternative exchange rate regimes on the probability of banking crises using a new set of classifications from the IMF that allows us to distinguish between hard and soft pegs. We find that this distinction is quite important and helps explain some of the...

The great financial crisis of 2007-08 and the recession have generated active debate on the role of financial systems on the real economy. In particular, central banks have shown increased interest in how financial systems can evolve to maximise their contribution to the real economy. Many...

Over the past decade, the domestic bond market and specialised financial institutions (SFIs) have played a greater role in financial intermediation in Thailand. The bond market's increasing importance in financial resource allocation is due mainly to a set of policies to promote the financial...

How do oil price movements affect sovereign spreads in an oil-dependent economy? I develop a stochastic general equilibrium model of an economy exposed to co-moving oil price and output processes, with endogenous sovereign default risk. The model explains a large proportion of business cycle...

I establish a theoretical framework to address three distinct, but interrelated puzzles in international economics: (1) the occurrence of twin crises, (2) the existence of large amounts of sovereign debt, and (3) the presence of substantial amounts of international reserves. By considering the...

​We investigate the effects of credit ratings-contingent financial regulation on foreign bank lending behavior. We examine the sensitivity of international bank flows to debtor countries' sovereign credit rating changes before and after the implementation of the Basel 2 risk-based capital...

This paper introduces a new transmission channel of banking crises where sizable cross-border bank claims on foreign countries with high domestic crisis risk enable contagion to the home economy. This asset-side channel opposes traditional views that see banking crises originating from either...

This paper studies the lending process in financial systems dominated by banks and examines the role of expectations and fundamentals in explaining banking and balance-of-payments crises. The excessive credit expansion to unprofitable projects that often follows the liberalization of capital...