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This study examines whether analysts' decisions to issue cash flows forecasts depend endogenously on their decision to use these forecasts to set target prices. An endogenous switching regression model, with analyst report regimes of disclosure and non-disclosure of cash flow forecasts, shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104027
We assess investment banks' influence over the agreement between their analysts' research behavior and their clients' interests, in the post-reform era. Competing banks discipline their analysts with worse career outcomes for producing biased reports, issuing shirking reports, and for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898627
We propose an ex ante measure of analysts' production of private information (PPI) based on the correlations between analysts' forecast revisions and prior stock price changes. We validate this measure by examining whether analysts with lower correlations (higher PPI) provide more information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857457
This study examines the relevance of financial and non-financial information for the valuation of venture-capital investments. Based on a hand-collected dataset on venture-backed start-ups in Germany, we investigate the internal due diligence documents of over 200 investment rounds. We document...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070871
How do different types of debt influence firm credit risk? This paper sheds new light on this issue by decomposing the leverage ratio into market debt, bank debt, and trade credit leverage ratios by balance sheet account type classification; and short-term debt and long-term debt leverage ratios...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824604
This paper studies the first day return of 227 carve-outs during 1996-2013. I find that the first day return of newly issued subsidiary stocks is explained by the reporting distortions in the pre IPO period, conditioned on whether the executives and directors of the subsidiary received stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970504
This study develops and evaluates a model that generates synthetic credit ratings using accounting and market based information. The model performs very well in explaining agency ratings, suggesting that fitted values for unrated companies are likely to be reasonably precise. In addition, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933324
Using textual analysis for a large sample of analyst reports, we find that analysts are more likely to use a DCF model and to discuss more cash flow and discount rate information for firms with more uncertainty, especially under heightened aggregate economic uncertainty and bearish market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226794
In this paper I develop a model of a competitive financial system with unrestricted but costly entry and an endogenously determined number of competing financial institutions (“banks” for short). Banks can make standard loans on which plentiful historical data are available and unanimous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068420
We document that analysts cater to short-term investors by issuing optimistic target prices. Catering dominates among analysts at brokers without an investment banking arm as they face lower reputational cost. The market does not see through the analyst catering activity and their forecasts lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937400