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their decisions to the public. This paper studies whether the communication of central banks can be used to explain upcoming … central bank communication during times of financial crisis. This is done by constructing an indicator to measure the … bank level during the financial crisis despite the rapid growth of economic uncertainty, and that communication can be a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016799
) communication on asset prices (stock prices, gilt yields and interest rate futures) from 1999-2023. We extend MPC communication to … communication leads to greater asset price volatility than simple and clear communication. Central banks that want to avoid … monetary policy communication, the previous literature has disregarded an important source of variation in asset prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349401
) communication on asset prices (stock prices, gilt yields and interest rate futures) from 1999-2023. We extend MPC communication to … communication leads to greater asset price volatility than simple and clear communication. Central banks that want to avoid … monetary policy communication, the previous literature has disregarded an important source of variation in asset prices. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314314
The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
In this paper, we present a monetary policy game in which the central bank has a private forecast of supply and demand shocks. The public needs to form its inflationary expectations and can make use of central bank announcements. However, because of the credibility problem that the central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014109703
This paper provides original empirical evidence on the emerging practice by central banks of communicating uncertainty in their inflation projections. We compare the effects of point and density projections in a learning-to-forecast laboratory experiment where participants' aggregated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842567
. Communication has become an effective auxiliary instrument of economic policy, and markets started paying precise attention to the … provide an overview of recent trends and developments in central bank communication strategies. By resorting to the existing … literature, we analyze the origins of central bank communication and the evolution of its role in time. We also study the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923581
the effects different communication strategies have on financial markets. It is shown that the communication strategy of … shown that communication in the form of voting records has the greatest effect on market participants' near term policy … expectations. These results support findings of the empirical literature and have strong implications for the optimal communication …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991250
Central bank communications are an important tool for guiding the economy and fulfilling monetary policy goals. Natural language processing (NLP) algorithms have been used to analyze central bank communications. These outdated bag-of-words methods often ignore context and cannot distinguish who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014513983
We study the impact of the publication of central banks' macroeconomic projections on the dynamic properties of an economy where (i) private agents have incomplete information and form their expectations using recursive learning algorithms; (ii) the short-term nominal interest rate is set as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127620