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A model of mortgage defaults is built into the standard incomplete markets model. Households face income and house … the risk of default. The model accounts for the observed patterns of housing consumption, mortgage borrowing, and defaults …. Default-prevention policies are evaluated. The mortgage default rate, housing demand, households' ability to self-insure, and …
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We propose an alternative approach to the modeling of the positive dependence between the probability of default and the loss given default in a portfolio of exposures, using a bivariate urn process. The model combines the power of Bayesian nonparametrics and statistical learning, allowing for...
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