finds that banks that record timelier loan loss provisions originate more loans during downturns, consistent with loan-loss … risk modeling disciplines both their loan loss provisions and loan origination. We identify two forms of credit risk … associated with their loan-loss-provision timeliness, with the ability of their provisions to predict future loan charge …

loan loss provisions, inducing a V-shaped relation between loan loss provisions and nonperforming loan changes. Failure to … the effects of delayed loan loss recognition in prior papers that assumed linearity. Future researchers should either … include net loan charge-offs in linear models of loan loss provisions or explicitly model the asymmetry induced by omitting …

loan loss provisions, inducing a V-shaped relation between loan loss provisions and nonperforming loan changes. Failure to … the effects of delayed loan loss recognition in prior papers that assumed linearity. Future researchers should either … include net loan charge-offs in linear models of loan loss provisions or explicitly model the asymmetry induced by omitting …

Bank regulators and academics have long conjectured the beneficial effects of smoothing in loan loss provisions (i … highlight the tradeoff between bank stability and transparency inherent in smoothing loan loss provisions – while proactive …

Several studies have addressed, with conflicting results, the issue of procyclical effects of loan loss provisions in … the past. More recently, the weak performance of incurred loss models in the financial crisis has given rise to a new … expected loss model in IFRS 9. This study contributes to the extant literature by separately analyzing the cyclical effects of …

different impairment rules and their potential effect on bank income and lending, a migration model simulates the “incurred loss …”, the “lifetime loss” and “three bucket” approaches now under consideration by standard setters. The last two “expected loss …

We model the evolution of stylised bank loan portfolios to assess the impact of IFRS 9 and US GAAP expected loss model … (ECL) on the cyclicality of loan write-off losses, loan loss provisions (LLPs) and capital ratios of banks, relative to the … incurred loss model of IAS 39. We focus on the interaction between the changes in LLPs' charges (the flow channel) and stocks …

- abrupt switches between high- and low-loss phases - from a risk-management perspective. As uncertainty about phase switches … increases, expected losses decouple from unexpected losses, which reflect a high percentile of the loss distribution. Banks that … ignore this decoupling have shortfalls of loss-absorbing resources, which is more detrimental if the portfolio is more …

We investigate the puzzle in the literature that various parametric loss given default (LGD) statistical models perform … accuracy and rank ordering when mean predictions and squared error loss functions are used. Therefore, the findings in the …