Showing 1 - 10 of 21,938
structural stochastic volatility, which derives from different noise levels in the demand of fundamentalists and chartists and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009007642
We construct a global implied volatility surface by combining information from the index options of twenty countries …, including global level and slope, U.S. convexity, VIX, SVIX, variance risk premium, and left-tail volatility. The predictability … of global convexity comes from its left-tail contributions related to crash fears (left-tail volatility), and right …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349532
The relationship between the level of stock market volatility and public information flow is non-linear, resembling a … bell-shaped function. Medium levels of information flow generate heightened volatility, whereas weak and strong information … realized GARCH model with time-varying intercept, measuring changes in the overall volatility level, which is governed by a new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228092
This study investigates the possible Granger-causal relations between stock price volatility and dividend dynamics on …-2018. Stock price volatility is calculated in terms of "conditional" volatility and in terms of the so-called "Shiller ratio … speculation to stock price volatility. Furthermore, we show that there is an inverse causal relationship ranging from stock prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288289
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638
This study introduces a novel index based on expectations concordance for explaining stock-price volatility when novel … market volatility. Lower expectations concordance produces a stabilizing effect wherein the offsetting views reduce market … volatility. The empirical findings hold for ex post and ex ante measures of volatility and for OLS and GARCH estimates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795039
We study the performance of range-based models over varying market conditions and compare their performance against a set of alterative risk measurement models, including the more widely used techniques in practice for measuring the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of seven financial market indices. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841836
This paper examines short-horizon exchange rate predictability and investigates whether stock returns contain information for forecasting daily exchange rate movements. Inspired by the uncovered equity parity condition, we show that stock return differentials have in-sample and out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900301
examines how well exchange rate volatility explains movements in stock market returns. The model-based predictions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724429
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001583865