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The calculation of the capital charge for CVA risk, as required by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, is … usually rather unstable due to the volatility of CDS spreads. Since credit derivatives on single names are not very liquid … CDSs and CDS indices, and we also evaluate the level of basis risk still remaining under the hedge. We address several …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944310
Motivated by previous studies documenting significant return and volatility effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU … which risk managers base the timing and size of their hedging programs on future price expectations, conditional on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912017
Under Black-Scholes (BS) assumptions, empirical volatility and risk neutral volatility are given by a single parameter …, which captures all aspects of risk. Inverting the model to extract implied volatility from an option's market price gives … the market's forecast of future empirical volatility. But real world returns are not lognormal, volatility is stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902982
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of … horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by other predictors such as forward rate spread or equity variance risk … long-run risk, economic uncertainty, and inflation non-neutrality. In the model IRVRP is related to short-run risk only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433708
price discovery occurs around the clock for most assets. For a given asset, intraday risk and return distributions are … fairly similar, indicating a broadly constant risk-return-relationship during the day. Although the amount of price discovery … assets do not exhibit the U-shaped intraday volatility pattern that has been documented for US equities, even if only main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022677
This paper estimates global bad and good uncertainties from monthly data on industrial production from a large set of countries. Bad and good uncertainties have opposite effects on macro aggregates and stock returns. An increase in bad uncertainty adversely impacts both, while an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000053
Innovations in volatility constitute a potentially important asset pricing risk factor that can be tested using the … world to U.S. based equity variance risk. We explore implications for global risk premiums and asset return comovements … exhibit negative loadings on the variance risk factor. These exposures, combined with the average return to the variance swap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848035
We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero … volatility agreement is exposed to volatility carry risk …-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489