Absence-of-Arbitrage (AoA) is the basic assumption underpinning derivatives pricing theory. As part of the OTC derivatives market, the CDS market not only provides a vehicle for participants to hedge and speculate on the default risks of corporate and sovereign entities, it also reveals...

We introduce a model-free approach based on {\it excursions} of trading signals for analyzing the risk and return for a broad class of dynamic trading strategies, including pairs trading and other statistical arbitrage strategies. We propose a mathematical framework for the risk analysis of such...

This paper develops estimators of the transition density, filters, and parameters of multivariate jump-diffusions with latent components. The drift, volatility, jump intensity, and jump magnitude are allowed to be general functions of the state. Our density and filter estimators converge at the...

The R package for maximum entropy bootstrap (meboot) is widely used for numerous applications involving statistical inference for time series data without having to do differencing or de-trending. We report some simulations confirming its effectiveness. It has been used for simulating time...

A cardinality-constrained portfolio caps the number of stocks to be traded across and within groups or sectors. These limitations arise from real-world scenarios faced by fund managers, who are constrained by transaction costs and client preferences as they seek to maximize return and limit...

Quantifying risk is pivotal for every financial institution. In the conventional framework, time is the key aspect for all the well-established risk measures. However, extracting and analyzing the frequency information conveyed by financial data, could yield improved insights about the inherent...

In this article we suggest a new method for solutions of stochastic integrals where the dynamics of the variables in integrand are given by some stochastic differential equation. We also propose numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations which is based on iterated integrals method...

This paper proposes a cluster HAR-type model that adopts the hierarchical clustering technique to form the cascade of heterogeneous volatility components. In contrast to the conventional HAR-type models, the proposed cluster models are based on the relevant lagged volatilities selected by the...