Showing 1 - 10 of 26,495
We conduct an empirical investigation to examine how income shocks and aggregate conditions influence income … detailed information on household income expectations. Our results show that income shocks, much more than aggregate conditions …, induce a revision in income expectations across the entire spectrum of the income distribution. This expectation revision is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014491735
existing mean-based tests. Beliefs about future income are found to become more accurate as students progress through school …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417717
existing mean-based tests. Beliefs about future income are found to become more accurate as students progress through school …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012427620
This paper shows that price rigidity evolves in an economy populated by imperfectly rational agents who experiment with alternative rules of thumb. In the model, firms must set their prices in face of aggregate demand shocks. Their payoff depends on the level of aggregate demand, as well as on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409938
This paper examines whether biased income expectations due to overconfidence lead to higher levels of debt-taking. In a … lab experiment, participants can purchase goods by borrowing against their future income. We exogenously manipulate income … expectations by letting income depend on relative performance in hard and easy quiz tasks. We successfully generate biased income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033567
This paper examines whether biased income expectations due to overconfidence lead to higher levels of debt-taking. We …, participants can purchase goods by borrowing against their future income. We exogenously manipulate overconfidence about income … expectations by letting income depend on relative performance in hard and easy quiz tasks. In the main experiment, we successfully …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468921
The adaptive learning approach has been fruitfully employed to model the formation of aggregate expectations at the macroeconomic level, as an alternative to rational expectations. This paper uses adaptive learning to understand, instead, the formation of expectations at the micro-level, by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226634
We review the recent work on interest rate setting, which emphasizes the desirability of designing policy to ensure stability under private agent learning. Appropriately designed expectations based rules can yield optimal rational expectations equilibria that are both determinate and stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089471
consists of auditing alow-income declarer with a probability that (weakly) increases with theother taxpayersamp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772622
We provide a critique of the methods that have been used to derive measures of income risk and draw attention to the … importance of demographic factors as a source of income risk. We also propose new measures of the contribution to total income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433584