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Based on the theory of static replication of variance swaps we assess the sign and magnitude of variance risk premiums …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410031
This paper examines the relationship between currency option's implied skewness and its future realized skewness, where the difference is known as the skewness risk premium (SRP). The SRP indicates whether investors pay a premium to be insured against future crash risk. Past investigations about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998625
Using the model-free methodology proposed in the literature, variance and skew swaps are extracted from currency options for several foreign exchange rates. Moreover, these variables are decomposed into semivariance and semiskew swaps, which are conditional to the evolution of the foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929214
We sort currencies by countries' consumption growth over the past four quarters. Currency portfolios of countries experiencing consumption booms have higher Sharpe ratios than those of countries going through a consumption-based recession. A carry strategy that goes short in countries that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999
We investigate the pricing of volatility risks in currency markets. First, we show that pricing ability of volatility risk is concentrated in some of its components. Diffusive volatility dominates jump volatility in pricing carry trade returns, while jump volatility is important in jointly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012552
across agents, time and currency pairs, consistent withthe asymmetric information theory and OTC market fragmentation. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906507
Many recent papers have investigated the role played by volatility in determining the cross-section of currency returns. This paper employs two time-varying factor models: a threshold model and a Markov-switching model to price the excess returns from the currency carry trade. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591966
The downside risk CAPM (DR-CAPM) can price the cross section of currency returns. The market-beta differential between high and low interest rate currencies is higher conditional on bad market returns, when the market price of risk is also high, than it is conditional on good market returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974570
. These shocks exacerbate the effects of net currency demand on exchange rate movements, as predicted by theory, and trigger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069669
We use a standard consumption-based asset pricing model incorporating conditioning information to explain the risk-return profile of currency carry trade portfolios. We use a scaled stochastic discount factor instead of scaled or managed portfolio returns as in previous work. Our conditioning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120594