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Stock market cycles and supply side dynamics

De Grauwe, Paul; Gerba, Eddie - 2015

The agent-based (behavioural) model is extended to include a financial friction on the supply side. Firms finance capital purchases using external financing, but need to pay for it in advance. In addition, firm financing constraint and net worth are determined by stock market prices, which can...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283037

Stock Market Cross-Sectional Skewness and Business Cycle Fluctuations

R.T. Ferreira, Thiago - 2020

Using U.S. data from 1926 to 2015, I show that financial skewness?a measure comparing cross-sectional upside and downside risks of the distribution of stock market returns of financial firms?is a powerful predictor of business cycle fluctuations. I then show that shocks to financial skewness are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115594

The Theory of Higher Order Lognormal Cascade Distribution and the Origin of Fat Tails in the Fluctuations of Stock Market

Lihn, Stephen H.T. - 2009

This working paper presents the general theory of the higher order "skew lognormal cascade distribution" as a … is studied in details, which incorporates the fat tails into the volatility (aka the volatility of volatility). We show … market index, and the market entropy of the stock market. Such study in the context of stochastic portfolio theory reveals …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159227

The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Cross-Section of Returns

Koh, Woo Hwa - 2017

Historically, value stocks earn higher average returns than growth stocks; however, the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) cannot explain this pattern, which is called the value premium puzzle. This study shows that uncertainty shocks can explain the puzzle. Intuitively, the value of growth...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965668

Asymmetric connectedness of stocks : how does bad and good volatility spill over the US stock market?

Barunik, Jozef; Kočenda, Evžen; Vácha, Lukáš - 2014

Asymmetries in volatility spillovers are highly relevant to risk valuation and portfolio diversification strategies in … volatility may spill over at different magnitudes. This paper fills this gap with two contributions. One, we suggest how to … quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers due to bad and good volatility. Two, using high frequency data covering most …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407529