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It is argued in literature that transparency may be detrimental to welfare. Morris and Shin (2002) suggest reducing the precision of public information or withholding it. The latter seems to be unrealistic. Thus, the issue is not whether central bank should disclose or not its information, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526649
In this paper we examine whether publishing the information underlying the central bank's decisions is socially desirable. We show that opacity may lead to the same equilibrium as transparency. However, additional equilibria may emerge under opacity with adverse consequences for welfare....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147417
Modern central banks increasingly value monetary policy transparency, and attempt to build credibility by communicating their decisions to the public. This paper studies whether the communication of central banks can be used to explain upcoming changes in their most important monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016799
Do the benefits of central bank transparency depend on the structure of financial markets? We address this question in a two-country model with dispersed information among price-setting firms. The volatility of the real exchange rate is non-monotonic in the precision of public communications....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836140
This paper studies the optimal disclosure strategy of a Sender who wants to influence hetero-geneous Receivers' expectations by providing public information. I introduce heterogeneous priors in an otherwise standard Bayesian persuasion model a la Gentzkow and Kamenica (2011) and characterize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212539
Central bank communications are an important tool for guiding the economy and fulfilling monetary policy goals. Natural language processing (NLP) algorithms have been used to analyze central bank communications. These outdated bag-of-words methods often ignore context and cannot distinguish who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014513983
Central bank communication plays an important role in shaping market participants' expectations. This paper studies a simple nonlinear model of monetary policy in which agents have incomplete information about the economic environment. It shows that agents' learning and the dynamics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214926
Den meisten Akademikern und politischen Entscheidungsträgern zufolge ist Transparenz in der Geldpolitik wünschenswert … der Zentralbank zu schließen, wodurch die laufende Inflation stärker auf stabilitätspolitische Maßnahmen reagiert. Dies … führt dazu, dass die Zentralbank sich eher auf die Inflation als auf die Stabilisierung der Produktionslücke konzentriert …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419293
There has been a remarkable rise in the transparency of monetary policy during the last two decades. This paper provides an overview of the ways in which central banks have been providing more information about their monetary policymaking. Furthermore, it reviews the theoretical literature on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237274
This paper provides an empirical assessment of the power of forward guidance at different horizons, shedding new light on the strength of the "forward guidance puzzle". Our identification strategy allows us to disentangle the change in future interest rates stemming from deviations from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214409