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What is the probability of high inflation; how high, when? These questions are important to all investors since even … characterizes this as The War On Savers. Higher inflation is possible, at 4% or more, with even worse effects. There are heated … debates about the probability and timing of high inflation, but our review of the extensive literature reveals no reliable way …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099903
Is inflation 'always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon' or is it fundamentally a fiscal phenomenon? The answer … market imperfections. These ingredients allow for both interpretations of the inflation process in a financially constrained … important identifying restrictions on the observed pattern between inflation and measures of financial and fiscal stress, to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896901
long run. In particular, we show that if monetary policy reacts aggressively to inflation, this supports a steady state … where inflation is close to the central bank's target. However, the same aggressive policy simultaneously favours the … inflation are lower and monetary policy is constrained by the effective lower bound. We discuss how fiscal policy can be used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546126
Part of the present inflation is caused by the breakdown of globalization, in particular supply chains, part is caused … the past and in the presence. This paper attributes inflation decisively to the overwhelming money creation by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553631
Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using our dynamic stock price model, we develop a two factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636657
We focus on a preference based approach when pricing options in a market driven by fractional Brownian motion. Within this framework we derive formulae for fractional European options using the traditional idea of conditional expectation. The obtained formulae - as well as further results -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636687
Market option prices in last 20 years confirmed deviations from the Black and Scholes (BS) models assumptions, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility known as "volatility smile". They provide a discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727608
Mellin transforms in option pricing theory were introduced by Panini and Srivastav (2004). In this contribution, we generalize their results to European power options. We derive Black-Scholes-Merton-like valuation formulas for European power put options using Mellin transforms. Thereafter, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003839565
We extend a framework based on Mellin transforms and show how to modify the approach to value American call options on dividend paying stocks. We present a new integral equation to determine the price of an American call option and its free boundary using modi ed Mellin transforms. We also show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003839567
This paper explores the application of contingent claims analysis (CCA) to two quot;hotquot; issues in life-cycle finance: (1) investing for retirement and (2) deciding when, if ever, to switch careers. Participants in individual retirement accounts do not have the time or the knowledge to make...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888707