This study attempts to illustrate the contributing factors for different patterns of crashes. In addition to the fundamental macro-economic factors, this paper argues that the existence of herding behavior as well as the level of investor attention are also important factors affecting the...

We propose to estimate the variance of a time series of financial returns through a quantile autoregressive model (QAR) and demonstrate that the return QAR model contains all information that is commonly captured in two separate equations for the mean and variance of a GARCH-type model. In...

In Nature’s Law, Elliott explained that the Fibonacci sequence provides a mathematical basis of the wave principle. In The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior and The New Science of Socionomics, Prechter explained how Fibonacci sequence exists at all those instances where growth is the...

Recently, a large body of academic literature has focused on the area of stable distributions and their application potential for improving our understanding of the risk of hedge funds. At the same time, research has sprung up on standard Bayesian methods applied to hedge fund evaluation. Little...

We develop scenario-based stochastic programming models for hedging the risks of international portfolios using options. The models provide an increasing level of integration in managing market and foreign exchange (FX) risks. We start with a single-stage model with currency options for...

In an experimental setting in which investors can entrust their money to traders, we investigate how compensation schemes affect liquidity provision and asset prices. Investors face a trade-off between risk and return. At the benefit of a potentially higher return, they can entrust their money...

We investigate the relationship between anchoring and the emergence of bubbles in experimental asset markets. We show that setting a visual anchor at the fundamental value (FV) in the first period only is sufficient to eliminate or to significantly reduce bubbles in laboratory asset markets. If...

We report the results of an experiment designed to study the role of trading institutions in the formation of bubbles and crashes in laboratory asset markets. We employ three trading institutions: Call Market, Double Auction, and T\^atonnement. The results show that bubbles are significantly...

We investigate the relationship between anchoring and the emergence of bubbles in experimental asset markets. We show that setting a visual anchor at the fundamental value (FV) in the first period only is sufficient to eliminate or to significantly reduce bubbles in laboratory asset markets. If...

This paper evaluates if sentiment extracted from social media and options volume anticipates future asset return. Using both textual based data and a particular market data derived call-put ratio, between July 2009 and September 2012, this research shows that: 1) features derived from market...