Over the course of their professional lives, Henry E. Kyburg, Isaac Levi, and Jochen Runde have maintained the claim that J M Keynes’s contributions to probability and decision theory were of a comparative, qualitative nature only. They maintained that J M Keynes had some interesting, but...

Causal inference in the empirical sciences is based on counterfactuals. This paper presents the counterfactual account of causation in terms of Lewis's possible-world semantics, and reformulates the statistical potential outcome framework and its underlying assumptions using counterfactual...

Der Preis der Schwedischen Reichsbank für Wirtschaftswissenschaften im Gedenken an Alfred Nobel geht an Ben Bernanke, Douglas Diamond und Philip Dybvig. Nach Ansicht der Königlich Schwedischen Akademie der Wissenschaften haben die Preisträger "unser Verständnis der Rolle der Banken in der...

Das fundamentale Werk von John von Neumann und Oskar Morgenstern (1944) hat die Spieltheorie als Gebiet begründet. Es gab zwar vorher schon den in deutscher Sprache veröffentlichen Beitrag von John Neumann (1928) Zur Theorie der Gesellschaftsspiele, aber erst mit dem Buch aus dem Jahre 1944...

Adam Smith, John Stuart Mill and Alfred Marshall shared a concern over excessive inequality of wealth and income, along with an attachment to individual choice, free markets and a minimal economic role of government. In this paper, I address the question of the size distribution of income, or...

This text challenges assumptions about the foundations of the Leon Walras' marginalist theory in the utilitarianism of Jeremy Bentham. The problematic is approached through a comparative study between Bentham's and Walras' ideas on three focus areas: 1. their views of society and the social...

Was the Keynesian message alive during the second half of the XXth Century, or was it betrayed by his followers? This article in the fields of the history of economic thought and methodology contrasts the Scientific Research Programmes (SRPs), a Lakatosian concept, of Keynes in The General...

We control the surplus process of a non-life insurance company by dynamic proportional reinsurance. The objective is to maximize expected (utility of the) surplus under the worst-case claim development. In the large claim case with a worst-case upper limit on claim numbers and claim sizes, we...

Schumpeter sketched a research program to explain the emergence of business cycles from perennial microeconomic flux. Economists however believe Schumpeterian micro processes are insufficient to generate macro dynamics, and therefore Schumpeterian themes must be appended with Keynesian features...