The aim of this paper is to assess the short and medium term impact of debt crises. Using an unbalanced panel of 159 countries from 1970 to 2008, the paper shows that debt crises produce significant and long-lasting output losses.In particular, we find that debt crises are very costly reducing...

This paper studies the incidence of bailouts with the possibility that bailouts may be required repeatedly before the crisis is resolved. I build a model in which two countries engage in a strategic interaction over repeated bailouts and austerity. The strategic interaction ends when the country...

In collateralized lending markets haircuts are used to protect the lender from the risk of loss. An important cross-sectional determinant of haircuts is the systematic risk profile of the collateral, which describes the rate at which the collateral value is expected to decline in adverse market...

Using the government's intertemporal budget constraint, we quantify the contribution of returns paid on the U.S. government's debt portfolio to the evolution of the debt-to-GDP ratio. We show that announcements of unconventional monetary policy measures by the Federal Reserve between 2008.IV and...

We build an agent-based dynamical system for the global economy to investigate and analyze financial crises. The agents are large aggregates of a subeconomy, and the global economy is a collection of subeconomies. We use well-known theories of dynamical systems to represent a financial crisis as...