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We apply a multivariate asymmetric generalized dynamic conditional correlation GARCH model to daily index returns of S … their conditional correlation, suggesting reduced hedging potential of REITs against the stock market downturn during the …. Furthermore, we demonstrate that default spread and stock market volatility play a significant role in driving dynamics of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101365
countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other …This paper investigates the dynamic linkages in terms of the first and second moments between stock and bond returns … framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407
This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025
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allow these to differ from the correlation processes (namely, DCC-type models) are more beneficial than the models that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434629
countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other …This paper investigates the dynamic linkages in terms of the first and second moments between stock and bond returns … framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953399
) stock-bond correlation forecasts falling 10-year interest rates over the coming weeks, and it also forecasts a falling 1 …-year interest rates over the next year. The reverse is true when the stock-bond correlation is higher (more positive … markets and/or policymakers' under-reaction to the changing economic conditions implied by the stock-bond correlation; and (2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970361
I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … account for up to 31% of the variation in excess bond returns. The main predictor factors are associated with point … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
The paper examines statistical and economic evidence of out-of-sample bond return predictability for a real … economic value for investors. Furthermore, we find that strong statistical and economic evidence of bond return predictability … levered investments in bonds can improve short-run bond return predictability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120968
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333137