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Using the Tsay (1988) outlier identification methodology on daily log-returns of 16 commodity spot price series and 25 commodity index series, this study assesses the impact significant and unexpected news announcements had on volatility between January 1, 1997 and December 31, 2007. Results...
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We propose and test a theory of using commodities as collateral for financing. Under capital control and collateral constraint, investors import commodities and pledge them as collateral to earn higher expected returns. Higher collateral demands increase commodity prices and make the inventory...
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Agents who acknowledge that their models are incorrectly specified are said to be ambiguity averse, and this affects the prices they are willing to trade at. Models for prices of commodities attempt to capture three stylized features: seasonal trend, moderate deviations (a diffusive factor), and...
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