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We introduce a model of random ambiguity aversion. Choice is stochastic due to unobserved shocks to both information … and ambiguity aversion. This is modeled as a random set of beliefs in the maxmin expected utility model of Gilboa and … Schmeidler (1989). We characterize the model and show that the distribution of ambiguity aversion can be uniquely identified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587418
characterize dynamically consistent updating for two important models of ambiguity averse preferences: the ambiguity averse smooth …Dynamic consistency leads to Bayesian updating under expected utility. We ask what it implies for the updating of more … ambiguity aversion. This characterization extends to regret-based models as well. As an application of our general result, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266275
equivalent consistency under updating characterise a family of capacities, called Genralised Neo-Additive Capacities (GNAC). This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422288
Finetti Theorem for this framework. A model of updating is also provided. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695312
equivalent consistency under updating characterise a family of capacities, called Genralised Neo-Additive Capacities (GNAC). This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003893438
between the set of relevant measures, shown by KMS [21] to reflect only perceived ambiguity, and the set of measures (which we … perceived ambiguity. Regarding symmetry assumptions, we show that, under relatively mild conditions, a variety of preference … stringent. Only when it is satisfied may the Bewley set be interpreted as reflecting only perceived ambiguity and not also taste …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694779
I experimentally examine whether feedback about others' choices provides an anchor for decision-making under ambiguity … relative ambiguity attitude (compared to the peer's) significantly matters for shifts in individual attitudes, and that … dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364762
sufficiently high ambiguity, more than two messages are often necessary to implement the optimal decision rule of S, though only … not implement the optimal decision rule of S, which is not the case in the absence of ambiguity. Fourth, we show that the … addition of a little ambiguity may generate influential communication that is unambiguously advantageous to S. Fifth, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010211402
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
This paper develops a belief update rule under ambiguity, motivated by the maxim: in the face of new information …, Maximum Likelihood) are special cases, but avoids the problems that these rules have with updating on complete ignorance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012259555