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The paper presents the welfare cost of inflation in a banking time economy that models exchange credit through a bank … welfare cost of a 10% inflation rate instead of zero, for comparison to other estimates, as well as the cost of a 2% inflation … rate instead of a zero inflation rate. The zero rate is specified as the US inflation rate target in the 1978 Employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012509
This study analyzes global inflation synchronization and derives policy implications for the Korean economy. Unlike … previous studies that assume a single global inflation factor, this study investigates if inflation in Korea can be explained … further by other global inflation factors. Our principal component analysis provides three principal components for global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294082
interest rate has to respond more than one-for-one to fluctuations in the inflation rate. In our setting, the average inflation … rate fluctuates around the inflation target if the computerized central bank obeys the Taylor principle. If the Taylor … principle is violated, then the average inflation rate persistently deviates from the target. We find that these deviations from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086472
This chapter examines the concept of inflation persistence in macroeconomic theory. It begins by defining persistence … persistence from the literature on imperfect information models, learning models, and so-called “trend inflation models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025671
Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses … all relevant information, is available in real time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation … measures such as core inflation measures. This paper presents the “FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)” for CPI and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054722
Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses … all relevant information, is available in real-time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation … measures such as core inflation measures. This paper presents the "Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) Staff Underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047554
We apply classical econometric method to characterize the dynamic behavior of the quarter-on-quarter inflation over the … inflation series and as well as for the consumer price inflation at representative product groups level, taking into account the … influence of structural breaks in the mean of inflation on the level of persistence. We find strong evidence for a break in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623303
equilibrium exists. We study the response differences in the dynamics of the inflation rate to changes in the mean and variance of … the Great Recession, in which the effects of greater model uncertainty may have played a role in keeping inflation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031084
It has been argued that economies with more independent central banks experience lower inflation over time. In this … the inflation rate dynamics. Second, we implement a panel data analysis. We find evidence that legislative reforms that … modify the degree of independence of a central bank have a strong impact on the inflation rate dynamics. Moreover, underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975112
We argue in this paper that the Great Inflation of the 1970s can be understood as the result of equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059157