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The episodes of stock market crises in Europe and the U.S.A. since the year 2000, and the fragility of the international stock markets, have sparked the interest of researchers in understanding and in modeling the markets’ rising volatilities in order to prevent against crises. Portfolio...
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allows us to go beyond conventional correlation analyses and volatility-spillover models confined to studying pairwise …
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This paper investigates the conditional correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil returns and stock index returns. Daily returns from 2 January 1998 to 4 November 2009 of the crude oil spot, forward and futures prices from the WTI and Brent markets, and the FTSE100, NYSE, Dow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149274
Global financial crises, which can stem from the bubbles in asset prices and which have been observed especially in the United States and Europe, have demonstrated once again how important the determination of bubbles is. The bubbles in question in financial markets are referred as excessive...
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This paper employs a deep learning approach for linking stock market fundamentals to trading signals via neural networks. With an average accuracy of ~54% the model predicts whether markets go up or down on the subsequent trading day. Coupling the prediction to a binary long/cash strategy yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928649
The study reports empirical evidence that artificial neural network based models are applicable to forecasting of stock market returns. The Nigerian stock market logarithmic returns time series was tested for the presence of memory using the Hurst coefficient before the models were trained. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488820